WOOHOO!! Good sounding news from NOAA after the 6am CDT advisory!
CHRIS IS BECOMING DISORGANIZED IN A HURRY. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATETHAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS BECOME DETACHED FROM THE THUNDERSTORMACTIVITY DUE TO NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR ...
ASSUMING THAT THE ENTIRECIRCULATION HAS NOT BEEN SAMPLED...THE INITIAL INTENSITY ISADJUSTED TO 40 KNOTS... AND THIS IS VERY GENEROUS. I WAS TEMPTEDTO FORECAST WEAKENING AND EVEN DISSIPATION OVER THE NEXT FEWDAYS...BUT THE BEST OPTION AT THIS TIME IS TO KEEP THE CYCLONE ON ASTEADY STATE CONSIDERING THAT THE SHEAR COULD DECREASE...ASSUGGESTED BY THE SHIPS MODEL.
Now, I don't usually expect governmental advisories to have anything 'human-sounding' in them, but that first sentence struck me as kind of funny. Generally I would expect to read something like "Tropical Storm Chris is currrently becoming less organized in structure." You know, a bit more stuffy and, well, British sounding. (with apologies to my British friends)
The forecaster continues:
ACCORDING TO ALL GLOBALMODELS...A STRONG RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ANCHORED TO THE NORTHOF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THEREFORE...CHRIS...OR WHATEVER IS LEFT OFTHE SYSTEM...IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WESTWARD ACROSS THESOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...VERY NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA ANDEVENTUALLY REACH THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO IN FIVE DAYS. THEDILEMMA IS THE FUTURE INTENSITY OF THE CYCLONE. IT COULD WEAKENFURTHER AND DISSIPATE OR COULD REGAIN SOME STRENGTH. I AM IN FAVOROF WEAKENING.
SO AM I!No matter! I'm just gleefully enjoying something which looks like good news (even if the forecaster decided to be cautiously optimistic instead of overly optimistic). WOOHOO!
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